The Counting Problem
In 2013 India's official records put malaria deaths at 440. The Lancet put them at 205,000. The strategic problem was an instrument problem the whole way down, and that gap is the thing I have actually worked on for twenty-eight years.
In 2013 the Indian government’s official records put malaria deaths in the country at 440. The government’s own medical certification of cause of death report put them at 5,428. A committee of the Indian Council of Medical Research put them at 40,297. The Lancet put them at 205,000.
I came across those four numbers sitting next to each other while running a stakeholder audit for Malaria No More in India, and the finding that mattered was not a health finding. State funding was allocated against reported incidence. The count was wrong by somewhere between ten and a hundred times, so the funding was wrong, so the delivery was wrong. Nobody in that chain was lying. Each of them was reporting the number their instrument produced.